§15 Development-oriented models align with deeply-structured AI systems
Reframing Superintelligence: Comprehensive AI Services as General Intelligence — K. Eric Drexler, FHI Technical Report #2019-1 (Markdown edition). Section 15 of 40. Source label: development-oriented. Rendered PDF: https://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:9c05427a-6390-4b42-9c55-ee45f73a26ad
Thesis. Unitary, unstructured models of superintelligent systems are natural objects of theoretical study, but development-oriented models suggest that advanced AI systems will in practice comprise deeply structured compositions of differentiated components.
Cited by sections: §II, §5, §11, §12, §17, §18, §21, §23, §33, §36
Summary
AI safety research has focused on unitary, relatively unstructured models of superintelligent systems. Development-oriented models, however, suggest that advanced AI systems will in practice comprise or employ structured systems of task-oriented components. Prospects for heterogeneous, deeply structured systems are best understood by considering development processes in which structure results from composing components, not from partitioning a hypothetical unitary functionality. A focus on development processes that lead to structured products links AI safety to ongoing AI research practice and suggests a range of topics for further inquiry.
AI safety research has often focused on unstructured rational-agent models
Research in AI safety has been motivated by prospects for recursive improvement that enables the rapid development of systems with general, superhuman problem-solving capabilities. Research working within this paradigm has centered not on the process of recursive improvement, but on its potential products, and these products have typically been modeled as discrete, relatively unstructured, general-purpose AI systems.
Structured systems are products of structured development
In an alternative, potentially complementary model of high-level AI, the products of recursive improvement are deeply structured, task-focused systems that collectively deliver a comprehensive range of superintelligent task capabilities, yet need not be (or become) discrete entities that individually span a full range of capabilities. This model has been criticized as potentially incurring high development costs, hence prospects for deploying differentiated (but not necessarily narrow) AI systems with a collectively comprehensive range of task capabilities may best be approached through an explicit consideration of potential AI research and development processes.
AI development naturally produces structured AI systems
Today, the AI research community is developing a growing range of relatively narrow, strongly differentiated AI systems and composing them to build systems that embrace broader domains of competence. A system that requires, for example, both vision and planning will contain vision and planning components; a system that interprets voice input will contain interacting yet distinct speech recognition and semantic interpretation components. A self-driving car with a conversational interface would include components with all of the above functionalities, and more. The principle of composing differentiated competencies to implement broader task-performance naturally generalizes to potential systems that would perform high-order tasks such as the human-directed design and management of space transportation systems, or AI research and development.
Structure arises from composing components, not partitioning unitary systems
If one begins with unitary systems as a reference model, the task of implementing structured, broadly competent AI systems may appear to be a problem of imposing structure by functional decomposition, rather than one of building structures by composing functional components. In other words, taking a unitary-system model as a reference model focuses attention on how a hypothetical system with unitary, universal competence might be divided into parts. While this framing may be useful in conceptual design, it can easily lead to confusion regarding the nature of structured AI system development and products.
A development-oriented approach to deeply structured systems suggests a broad range of topics for further inquiry
A focus on AI development links AI safety studies to current R&D practice. In particular, the prospective ability to deliver deeply-structured, task-focused AI systems offers rich affordances for the study and potential implementation of safe superintelligent systems.
The joint consideration of structured AI development and products invites inquiry into a range of topics, including:
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Abstract and concrete models of structured AI systems
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Abstract and concrete models of AI R&D automation
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Incremental R&D automation approaching the recursive regime
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Conditions for problematic emergent behaviors in structured systems
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Applications of end-to-end learning in structured systems
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Unitary models as guides to potential risks in composite systems
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Distinct functionalities and deep component integration
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Safety guidelines for structured AI systems development
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Potential incentives to pursue alternative paths
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Potential incentives to violate safety guidelines
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Implications of safety-relevant learning during AI development
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Applications of task-focused AI capabilities to AI safety problems
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Applications of superintelligent-level machine learning to predicting human approval
Further Reading
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§5 Rational-agent models place intelligence in an implicitly anthropomorphic frame
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§10 R&D automation dissociates recursive improvement from AI agency
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§12 AGI agents offer no compelling value
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§15 Development-oriented models align with deeply-structured AI systems
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§39 Tiling task-space with AI services can provide general AI capabilities
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§35 Predictable aspects of future knowledge can inform AI safety strategies